Ok, I have a debug log from a 64-bit machine: the id is OL6Z2. With Exploit detection turned off, there was a series of 3 probes of the router
[admin login failure] from source 192.168.0.3, Saturday, March 30, 2019 08:57:54
[admin login failure] from source 192.168.0.3, Saturday, March 30, 2019 08:57:54
[admin login failure] from source 192.168.0.3, Saturday, March 30, 2019 08:57:54
The probe does not correspond timewise to any task in the task scheduler (although it was ~16 minutes ahead of a scheduled Avast update. Coincidence?).
Another 64-bit machine (not logging) also probed on Saturday. This was the 1st probe by either machine in several days. They are always on. I haven't touched any of the settings, other than to enable debug logging on the one.
George